Poll: Portman has solid lead over Strickland
Lead Summary
By
-
http://www.qu.edu/news-and-events/quinnipiac-university-poll/2016-presidential-swing-state-polls/release-detail?ReleaseID=2366
Republican incumbent senators have solid leads over Democratic challengers in the key swing states of Florida, Ohio and Pennsylvania, according to a Quinnipiac University Swing State Poll released today.
Noteworthy is Ohio where former Gov. Ted Strickland, who had an early lead but now trails Sen. Rob Portman by 7 percentage points, the independent Quinnipiac University Poll finds. The Swing State Poll focuses on Florida, Ohio and Pennsylvania because since 1960 no candidate has won the presidential race without taking at least two of these three states.
The U.S. Senate matchups show:
• Florida - Sen. Marco Rubio over U.S. Rep. Patrick Murphy 50 - 37 percent, and Rubio leading U.S. Rep. Alan Grayson, another possible Democratic challenger 50 - 38 percent;
• Ohio - Sen. Rob Portman over former Gov. Ted Strickland 47 - 40 percent;
• Pennsylvania - Sen. Pat Toomey over Democrat Katie McGinty 49 - 39 percent.
"The numbers seem to be breaking the Republican way in the battle for control of the U.S. Senate, at least when it comes to the critical swing states of Florida, Ohio and Pennsylvania," said Peter A. Brown, assistant director of the Quinnipiac University Poll.
"Democrats made fun of Sen. Marco Rubio when he opted for a last-minute re-election bid in Florida, but he may be on the way to a last laugh, having quickly opened double digit leads over both Democratic challengers.
"In Ohio, Sen. Portman had trailed for much of the campaign, but now has moved clearly ahead of Democratic challenger Ted Strickland, a former governor. In Pennsylvania, incumbent Sen. Pat Toomey, who has led from the start, maintains a double-digit margin."
"Many talking heads have suggested that with Donald Trump at the top of the GOP ticket, Republican Senate candidates might suffer," Brown added. "But at least in these three key states, the Republican Senate candidates are running ahead of Trump and don't seem to be hurt by their shared party label."
[[In-content Ad]]
President Barack Obama is under water with negative job approval ratings in each state, tumbling from improved approval ratings in a June 22 Quinnipiac University Swing State Poll:
44 - 53 percent in Florida, down from a 54 - 42 percent approval rating;
47 - 50 percent in Ohio, virtually unchanged from his 48 - 50 percent score last month;
45 - 53 percent in Pennsylvania, down from his 51 - 47 percent approval in June.
Florida
In Florida, Sen. Rubio leads Rep. Murphy 54 - 33 percent among men and 47 - 40 percent among women, with similar results in a Rubio-Grayson matchup.
Rubio does better among non-white voters than most Republican candidates, trailing Murphy 48 - 34 percent. White voters back Rubio 59 - 31 percent.
Independent voters back Rubio 51 - 32 percent.
Rubio gets a divided 46 - 43 percent job approval rating.
Voters approve 42 - 29 percent of the job Sen. Bill Nelson is doing and give Gov. Rick Scott a split 43 - 44 percent approval rating.
"The breadth of Sen. Rubio's lead against Rep. Patrick Murphy, who has the backing of the Democratic leadership, is impressive. He has a 19-point margin among independent voters and scores 10 points better among Republicans than Murphy does among Democrats."
Ohio
Gender and racial gaps are wider in Ohio as men back Portman 55 - 35 percent, while women back Strickland 46 - 41 percent. White voters go Republican 52 - 37 percent, while non-white voters go Democratic 59 - 23 percent.
Independent voters back Portman 49 - 39 percent.
Ohio voters approve 46 - 35 percent of the job Portman is doing and give him a 40 - 32 percent favorability rating.
Strickland gets a slightly negative 38 - 42 percent favorability rating.
Voters approve 48 - 30 of the job Sen. Sherrod Brown is doing and approve 58 - 32 percent of the job Gov. John Kasich is doing.
"There's a seeming paradox about the U.S. Senate race in Ohio. Democrat Ted Strickland, who will be 75 years old next month, does best among young voters, beating incumbent Republican Sen. Rob Portman 49 - 36 percent among voters 18 to 34 years old. Portman, who is 60 years old, scores best among voters over 65 years old, beating Strickland 51 - 35 percent," Brown said.
Republican incumbent senators have solid leads over Democratic challengers in the key swing states of Florida, Ohio and Pennsylvania, according to a Quinnipiac University Swing State Poll released today.
Noteworthy is Ohio where former Gov. Ted Strickland, who had an early lead but now trails Sen. Rob Portman by 7 percentage points, the independent Quinnipiac University Poll finds. The Swing State Poll focuses on Florida, Ohio and Pennsylvania because since 1960 no candidate has won the presidential race without taking at least two of these three states.
The U.S. Senate matchups show:
• Florida - Sen. Marco Rubio over U.S. Rep. Patrick Murphy 50 - 37 percent, and Rubio leading U.S. Rep. Alan Grayson, another possible Democratic challenger 50 - 38 percent;
• Ohio - Sen. Rob Portman over former Gov. Ted Strickland 47 - 40 percent;
• Pennsylvania - Sen. Pat Toomey over Democrat Katie McGinty 49 - 39 percent.
"The numbers seem to be breaking the Republican way in the battle for control of the U.S. Senate, at least when it comes to the critical swing states of Florida, Ohio and Pennsylvania," said Peter A. Brown, assistant director of the Quinnipiac University Poll.
"Democrats made fun of Sen. Marco Rubio when he opted for a last-minute re-election bid in Florida, but he may be on the way to a last laugh, having quickly opened double digit leads over both Democratic challengers.
"In Ohio, Sen. Portman had trailed for much of the campaign, but now has moved clearly ahead of Democratic challenger Ted Strickland, a former governor. In Pennsylvania, incumbent Sen. Pat Toomey, who has led from the start, maintains a double-digit margin."
"Many talking heads have suggested that with Donald Trump at the top of the GOP ticket, Republican Senate candidates might suffer," Brown added. "But at least in these three key states, the Republican Senate candidates are running ahead of Trump and don't seem to be hurt by their shared party label."
[[In-content Ad]]
President Barack Obama is under water with negative job approval ratings in each state, tumbling from improved approval ratings in a June 22 Quinnipiac University Swing State Poll:
44 - 53 percent in Florida, down from a 54 - 42 percent approval rating;
47 - 50 percent in Ohio, virtually unchanged from his 48 - 50 percent score last month;
45 - 53 percent in Pennsylvania, down from his 51 - 47 percent approval in June.
Florida
In Florida, Sen. Rubio leads Rep. Murphy 54 - 33 percent among men and 47 - 40 percent among women, with similar results in a Rubio-Grayson matchup.
Rubio does better among non-white voters than most Republican candidates, trailing Murphy 48 - 34 percent. White voters back Rubio 59 - 31 percent.
Independent voters back Rubio 51 - 32 percent.
Rubio gets a divided 46 - 43 percent job approval rating.
Voters approve 42 - 29 percent of the job Sen. Bill Nelson is doing and give Gov. Rick Scott a split 43 - 44 percent approval rating.
"The breadth of Sen. Rubio's lead against Rep. Patrick Murphy, who has the backing of the Democratic leadership, is impressive. He has a 19-point margin among independent voters and scores 10 points better among Republicans than Murphy does among Democrats."
Ohio
Gender and racial gaps are wider in Ohio as men back Portman 55 - 35 percent, while women back Strickland 46 - 41 percent. White voters go Republican 52 - 37 percent, while non-white voters go Democratic 59 - 23 percent.
Independent voters back Portman 49 - 39 percent.
Ohio voters approve 46 - 35 percent of the job Portman is doing and give him a 40 - 32 percent favorability rating.
Strickland gets a slightly negative 38 - 42 percent favorability rating.
Voters approve 48 - 30 of the job Sen. Sherrod Brown is doing and approve 58 - 32 percent of the job Gov. John Kasich is doing.
"There's a seeming paradox about the U.S. Senate race in Ohio. Democrat Ted Strickland, who will be 75 years old next month, does best among young voters, beating incumbent Republican Sen. Rob Portman 49 - 36 percent among voters 18 to 34 years old. Portman, who is 60 years old, scores best among voters over 65 years old, beating Strickland 51 - 35 percent," Brown said.