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Strickland, Portman close in latest poll

Lead Summary
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https://www.qu.edu

U.S. Senate races in the key Swing States of Florida, Ohio and Pennsylvania are too-close-to-call as voters in each state want the Senate to vote on President Barack Obama's nominee to the U.S. Supreme Court, according to a Quinnipiac University Swing State Poll released today.

By huge margins, voters in Florida and Ohio support legalization of medical marijuana, which already is legal in Pennsylvania, the independent Quinnipiac University Poll finds. By smaller, but still strong margins, voters in all three states support legalization of personal use, so-called recreational use, of marijuana. The Swing State Poll focuses on Florida, Ohio and Pennsylvania because since 1960 no candidate has won the presidential race without taking at least two of these three states.

U.S. Senate matchups show:

• Florida – In a crowded field, there are no clear winners or losers, while U.S. Rep. Patrick Murphy, a Democrat, seems to be the strongest of all candidates;

• Ohio – Former Gov. Ted Strickland, the Democrat, has 43 percent, while Republican incumbent Sen. Rob Portman has 42 percent;

• Pennsylvania – Republican incumbent Sen. Pat Toomey has 45 percent, while Democrat Katie McGinty has 44 percent.

"Ohio Gov. John Kasich and U.S. Sen. Sherrod Brown look to be in good shape in their crucial home state if their respective presidential nominees want to turn their way for a running mate," said Peter A. Brown, assistant director of the Quinnipiac Poll.

"Gov. Kasich's job approval among Ohioans has slipped a bit from the low 60s to 58 percent, not surprising since running for president often does that to politicians who try to move up to higher office and fail. But he remains the most popular politician in the state. Democrat Sen. Brown's 46 percent approval rating isn't as good, but his name continues to pop up."

"Florida Gov. Rick Scott has a negative 40-49 percent approval rating. He might hurt rather than help his fellow businessman-turned-politician Donald Trump's effort to carry Florida," Brown added.

"The Senate races in all three states are close with GOP incumbents in Ohio and Pennsylvania facing strong challenges. The Florida U.S. Senate race is wide open with none of the seven candidates particularly well-known to voters."

Propelled by non-white voters and young voters, former Gov. Ted Strickland, a Democrat, has 43 percent in the Ohio U.S. Senate race, with 42 percent for Republican incumbent Sen. Rob Portman.

Voters 18 to 34 years old back Strickland 58-27 percent, while support shifts to Portman among older voters, but by smaller margins. White voters back the Republican 49-37 percent, while non-white voters go Democratic 70-10 percent.

The gender gap is small as men back Portman 47-42 percent while women back Strickland 43-37 percent.

Ohio voters approve 47-33 percent of Judge Garland's nomination to the Supreme Court and say 56-38 percent that the Senate should consider the nomination.

Ohio voters approve 58-32 percent of the job Gov. John Kasich is doing.

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President Obama gets a negative 45-50 percent job approval rating.

Sen. Sherrod Brown gets a 46-27 percent job approval rating, while Portman gets a 44-29 percent score.

Ohio voters support 90-9 percent legalizing the use of medical marijuana, with no listed voter group under 82 percent.

Voters support 52-45 percent allowing adults to legally possess small amounts of marijuana for personal use.

"Republican Sen. Rob Portman might consider introducing himself to Ohioans. He is locked in a neck-and-neck re-election fight in which 42 percent of voters say they don't know enough about him to have an opinion. In fact, Democratic opponent Ted Strickland, a former governor is somewhat better known than is he," Brown said.

Florida

In Florida's U.S. Senate race, U.S. Rep. Patrick Murphy, a Democrat, leads Republican businessman Carlos Beruff 38-32 percent; edges Lt. Gov. Carlos Lopez-Cantera 38 - 34 percent and leads businessman Todd Wilcox 38-33 percent. Other races involving Murphy and GOP contenders, or Democratic Rep. Alan Grayson and Republicans, are too close to call.

Voters approve 51-33 percent of President Barack Obama's nomination of Judge Merrick Garland to the U.S. Supreme Court and say 54-40 percent that the Senate should consider Garland's nomination.

Supporting Senate action are Democrats 82-12 percent and independent voters 58 - 36 percent. Republicans are opposed 69-27 percent.

Voters disapprove 49-40 percent of the job Gov. Rick Scott is doing, continuing his five-year trend of mostly negative scores.

President Obama gets a split score, as 48 percent approve and 50 percent disapprove.

Lame-duck Sen. Marco Rubio has a negative 42-49 percent approval rating, while Sen. Bill Nelson gets a positive 47-26 percent score.

Florida voters say 80-16 percent they will vote for a constitutional amendment this November allowing for medical marijuana. Support is over 70 percent among every party, gender, education, age and ethnic group measured.

Voters also support 56-41 percent allowing adults to legally possess for personal use small amounts of marijuana. Republicans and voters over 65 years old are the only listed groups opposed.

"The Florida U.S. Senate race features a candidate who appears to be using Gov. Rick Scott's playbook. Scott came from nowhere and won the governor's chair with a campaign arguing that his outsider status and business experience made him a better choice. Businessman Carlos Beruff reportedly has invested $1 million in television ads introducing himself to voters and at this stage is polling roughly as well as the other four GOP candidates," Brown said.

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